The Frost Beneath

I’ve shown this scene before: Thomas Jefferson at a 21st century picnic table, eating a hot dog.

Google Gemini.

Because that’s what we do on July 4 when the weather is usually warm.

Usually.

But sometimes the unexpected happens.

“The Frost Beneath.” Google Lyria. Public Domain.

Happy Fourth.

Noah Kalina Everyday and NIST Face and Iris Testing

(Image By Noah Kalina – https://flickr.com/photos/arvadacenter/7205535002/, Fair use, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?curid=69354953)

When the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) performs biometric testing, it generally uses government data from law enforcement, homeland security, and similar sources.

Plus some specialized data that government databases can’t match.

On January 10, 2000, Noah Kalina took a selfie. The next day, he took another. And he kept on doing it every day, with some exceptions, for many years. (Here he is on June 1, 2026.) By centering his nose in the center of the frame, the pictures provide a consistent chronicle of Kalina’s appearance, along with the exact day on which the pictures were taken. NIST purchased rights to some of these photos to use in its age estimation testing. Since NIST knew Kalina’s true age on any given day, it could measure an age estimation algorithm’s accuracy.

But that’s not why I’m writing about Noah Kalina.

Let’s move to irises

Consider the irises of the face, how they are captured. They are usually captured with expensive cameras that take a picture from a short distance away.

But what if a normal camera captured a person, and their irises? Could the camera images yield useful information?

James Matey wanted to find out.

[The Kalina images] “provide us with interesting opportunities to explore the effects of time lapse on iris recognition employed on images that were not originally intended for iris recognition. NIST obtained a license from Kalina to use a subset (7 half years from 2009-2015) of original, high resolution, digital images in biometric studies.”

So were they useful?

“…even though the majority of the images in this dataset did not provide solid matches, there are instances where mated iris image pairs from visible light images that were not obtained for the purpose of iris recognition match with match scores corresponding to a false match rate of 0:1% at a true accept rate of 1% . Though such performance is not useful in applications such as access control, there are cases where it may be useful.”

No, your irises can’t be easily captured in 2026, but what about later?

Let Me Explain

If you’re a fingerprint biometric firm and need Bredemarket, I can’t help you this month. I’m already working with one of your competitors.

Likewise, if you’re a face biometric firm and need Bredemarket, I can’t help you this month. I’m already working with one of YOUR competitors.

So where am I seeking clients, if not fingerprint or face companies?

Tell you later.

Midnight at the Junction

After playing around with Lyria as a ska star, I wondered if “Lyria-ska” could serve a marketing purpose. And I decided that its very speed fits perfectly with Bredemarket’s “ask, then I act” messaging.

As Google Gemini phrased it:

“The songs are short, sharp shocks of energy designed to get a roomful of strangers sweating together in a pit.”

Not designed for people sitting on the sidelines pondering on whether to launch a study on whether to launch a study.

Because if you’re still pondering at 11:59 pm, you’re going to miss the party.

Midnight at the Junction.

So talk to Bredemarket now.

https://bredemarket.com/mark/

The Other Half of Kalshi and Polymarket Trades

Ads emphasize positive outcomes and gloss over negative ones.

You’ve seen the ads for prediction markets. And the ads for online gambling. Not that I’m saying that futures trading is gambling, mind you.

Google Gemini.

Now when you see the ads, the people making the predictions ALWAYS win. Because people HAVE won with Kalshi or Polymarket, and why not emphasize the positive?

But the discerning viewer knows that every “game” has winners and losers. And if the ads were real, half of them (give or take) would end like this.

Google Gemini.

But it could be worse: much worse. Because the Kalshis and Polymarkets of the world differ from other futures trading. Google Gemini:

“Unlike traditional futures where $100 acts as a down payment to control a massive contract, Kalshi and Polymarket are fully collateralized. When you place a trade, you are buying “shares” in an event (like “YES, the Fed will cut rates” or “NO, it won’t rain tomorrow”).”

So you invest $100 and may lose $100. In hog futures, you can lose a lot more.

Not That Matrix

Sometimes you choose illusion. But sometimes you choose truth.

Not That Matrix. “Quarterly Close” by Google Lyria. Public Domain.

Yes, this is a topic I previously addressed in “The Matrix” on June 19. And in “On Threats” that very same day.

And I even pre-shared the audio track “Quarterly Close” well before sharing the video.

But once you ASK what the threats are, you can ACT on them.

Let me help your identity, biometric, or technology firm with analysis. Schedule a free meeting with Bredemarket.