The Big 3: Only the Names Change

In October 2023, on the occasion of the launch of the Prism Project, Bredemarket published a blog post entitled “The Big 3, or 4, or 5? Through the Years.”

Through many years.

The post discussed the evolution of the large Automated Fingerprint Identification System vendors, now large Automated Biometric System vendors that support face and other biometric modalities.

And the evolution will continue.

From 1986 to March 2009

Although I could have gone back to Autonetics in the 1960s, I didn’t. I started my version of the story in the 1980s, when the “big 3” were:

  • De La Rue Printrak.
  • Morpho Systems.
  • NEC.

The 2023 post detailed a number of changes over the next two decades, including the emergence of new companies, the results of a particular NIST test (FpVTE 2003) that put a temporary damper on my professional life, and some acquisitions.

A lot of acquisitions.

For our purposes I will fast forward to March 2009, when I argue there were a “Big 5”:

  • Cogent Systems.
  • L-1 Identity Solutions.
  • Motorola (my employer).
  • NEC.
  • Safran.

Sounds nice and neat, but I said to “hang on to your seats.”

From April 2009 to 2011

Because everything changed in the next two years. Here’s how I described it in the 2023 post:

From 2011 to 2023

So now there were just three again: 3M, NEC, and Safran. And that’s where we remain today, with some name changes: part of 3M was carved off to become part of Gemalto, part of Safran was carved off to become part of IDEMIA, and all of Gemalto was absorbed by Thales.

So by the time C. Maxine Most identified her “Big 3 ID,” they were:

  • IDEMIA.
  • NEC.
  • Thales.

Looking forward to 2027 or 2028

Why am I returning to my 2023 post? Because if all the required investment, regulatory, and government approvals move forward, and assuming no corporate changes that haven’t yet been announced, the 2027 or 2028 version of the “Big 3” will be:

  • Amadeus.
  • NEC.
  • Thales.

My Favorite Line I Wrote Today

From my post this morning on Advent International, Amadeus, and IDEMIA Public Security.

“Plan C became to split IDEMIA into three chunks—biometric product marketing experts call this a “trifurcation”—and sell the three chunks individually.”

Now I have never officially written about trifurcations, but if you saw my post on bifurcations you can probably figure out trifurcations also.

From NIST.

Advent International Plans to Sell IDEMIA Public Security

Amadeus’ planned acquisition of IDEMIA Public Security has been years in the making.

Many years ago, Advent International acquired Oberthur with the intent to sell it at a profit.

But Advent wanted to beef it up.

Meanwhile, Safran wanted to sell a chunk of itself to concentrate on its…(long pause)…transportation business.

The resulting combination was initially named OT MORPHO. It was subsequently renamed IDEMIA.

Wow.

Fast forward to 2022, when Reuters speculated that Advent was about to sell IDEMIA. I wrote about this twice at the time (one, two)…but in the end nothing happened.

Then Advent went to plan C.

  • Plan A was to buy Oberthur and sell it.
  • Plan B was to combine Oberthur with Morpho and sell it.
  • Plan C became to split IDEMIA into three chunks—biometric product marketing experts call this a “trifurcation”—and sell the three chunks individually.

The first chunk moved forward in 2024, when IDEMIA entered negotiations to sell IDEMIA Smart Identity to IN Groupe. These negotiations were successful.

This did not include my former part of IDEMIA, IDEMIA Public Security.

Fast forward two years, when a Spanish company made its intentions known.

29 April 2026, 8am CEST: Following a competitive bid process, Amadeus today announces its intention to acquire IDEMIA Public Security (IPS), a leading biometrics and identity services provider headquartered in France….It will follow Amadeus’ 2024 acquisition of Vision-Box.”

Now nothing is signed yet, and government approvals will take some time. (I know.) Amadeus’ current estimate is mid 2027, but this could slip.

So I will spend the time watching music videos.

Ooh!